Trump's "Liberation Day" has finally arrived. Today is what Trump calls "Liberation Day," the day he frees the U.S. economy from the global economy.
Will Trump's action bring more chaos/uncertainty or will the cloud of uncertainty (that has plagued the market since he took office) be finally lifted?
I believe the news will be bullish for the market. So look for a run up because it will be a case of "sell the rumor [as we have witnessed], buy the news." I say so because the alternative will be catastrophic. I hope Trump is aware of this, otherwise he will reverse his decision fast because he will not like what follows.
I believe the market will like the news because it will be a case of Trump overpromising and underdelivering. But what I want most is for it to be over with, because it is a difficult environment to trade in when external factors (market-moving tariff news from Trump and other nations) are constantly bombarding with market. Hopefully that will come to an end today.
Wednesday, April 2, 2025
Wednesday, March 26, 2025
Sunday, March 23, 2025
Wednesday, March 19, 2025
FOMC DAY
Today is FOMC Day. At 2PM ET, the Federal Open Market Committee known as the FOMC will give its economic projections and interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 2:30PM ET.
Given the commotion and dark cloud of uncertainties hovering over the market, the Fed has no choice but give a very dovish report to calm things down otherwise we might see a market crash since there is no clarity coming from the White House, rather, more uncertainties as the days go by. With that in mind, I'm expecting a market rally today and the days ahead. So look for a very bullish day because the Committee has no choice but to acknowledge the risk of a recession (if not depression) as a result of policy decisions coming from the White House. And before it is too late, to start taking actions to avoid it instead of brushing it off like it did the last time.
In my opinion, their last decision calling for "patience" will not work this time. I don't think the market wants to hear that again though it was the right thing to do six weeks ago since the policy decisions of the White House hadn't yet made their way into the economic reports because economic data is a lagging indicator. On the other hand, the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy since it is real-time information. It leads the economy by a few months.
Given the commotion and dark cloud of uncertainties hovering over the market, the Fed has no choice but give a very dovish report to calm things down otherwise we might see a market crash since there is no clarity coming from the White House, rather, more uncertainties as the days go by. With that in mind, I'm expecting a market rally today and the days ahead. So look for a very bullish day because the Committee has no choice but to acknowledge the risk of a recession (if not depression) as a result of policy decisions coming from the White House. And before it is too late, to start taking actions to avoid it instead of brushing it off like it did the last time.
In my opinion, their last decision calling for "patience" will not work this time. I don't think the market wants to hear that again though it was the right thing to do six weeks ago since the policy decisions of the White House hadn't yet made their way into the economic reports because economic data is a lagging indicator. On the other hand, the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy since it is real-time information. It leads the economy by a few months.
Sunday, March 16, 2025
SPX WEEKEND REVIEW
SPY-WEEKLY
SPX-DAILY III
SPX-DAILY II
SPX-DAILY I
SPX-240MIN
SPX-120MIN
SPX-60MIN
SPX-30MIN
SPX-15MIN
SPY-15MIN
SPX-DAILY III
SPX-DAILY II
SPX-DAILY I
SPX-240MIN
SPX-120MIN
SPX-60MIN
SPX-30MIN
SPX-15MIN
SPY-15MIN
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