Enlarge any chart by clicking on it.

Unless otherwise specified, ALWAYS use the 15min chart to enter my recommended plays because
CONFIRMATION is a MUST.
In other words, you need to see a 15min candlestick that CLOSES beyond
the entry point, then enter when it moves 10cents after the high/low of that candlestick.

Thursday, September 20, 2012

VIX & SPX

The bears are not serious. They are not ready for prime time. The bulls have control of this market. Today was a day for the bears to make a statement but they just could not. At this point, look for the SPX to drop to 1440-1438 before the bulls take the wheel to regain full control. My expected drop to 1440-1438 is just time for the bulls to relax and regain strength, not because the bears have anything to offer. VIX wants to run up but it will do so without taking the SPX down just like the last two weeks of August. In so doing, it will setup a run up for the market when the VIX reverses and start moving back down.
So look for the VIX to run up while the SPX makes a sideways drift lower, thereby setting up for the SPX to run higher starting the last few days of this month (likely from September 27th).

Just my opinion. So it doesn't count. Let the charts speak

VIX-DAILY

SPX-DAILY III

SPX-DAILY II

SPX-DAILY I

SPX-30MIN II

SPX-30MIN I

SPX-5MIN