Enlarge any chart by clicking on it.

Unless otherwise specified, ALWAYS use the 15min chart to enter my recommended plays because
CONFIRMATION is a MUST.
In other words, you need to see a 15min candlestick that CLOSES beyond
the entry point, then enter when it moves 10cents after the high/low of that candlestick.

Thursday, September 11, 2014

BA, BIDU, JPM, NFLX, SLB, TSLA, WHR, SPX

DARDEN RESTAURANTS EARNINGS PREVIEW:
DRI reports before the market opens tomorrow. I did not make this play because the bid-ask spread of the options is not good. This is for my training/experience only.
Fundamentally it looks bad. I scored it at 2 to 2.5 out of 10 (bearish). Also, it has beaten earnings estimates only four times the past fifteen quarters, and has missed four of the last five quarters with the one exception coming in line. On the revenue side, it beat expectations only five times the past fifteen quarters, and missed the last four quarters. The company is not doing good.
Technically (see chart below), it is more bearish than bullish with a Rising Wedge pattern. The wedge it is not that important because a Rising Wedge is only as good as the direction it breaks out in, though they are more likely to break lower.
In the case of DRI, an argument could be made for an Ascending Triangle as well (bullish) because the resistance line of the wedge is not that steep.
But another factor that gives advantage to the bears is that it made a big move of 1.08% today closing at the highs of the day after trending up the past two months. Today's gain was the biggest in about five to six weeks. This is not a good sign for earnings.
So if I was making a play, it would have been Puts because I expect it to miss.


DRI-DAILY


BA-15MIN


BIDU-15MIN


JPM-15MIN


NFLX-DAILY


NFLX-15MIN


SLB-15MIN


TSLA-DAILY


TSLA-15MIN


WHR-DAILY


WHR-15MIN


SPX-DAILY V


SPX-DAILY IV


SPX-DAILY III


SPX-DAILY II


SPX-DAILY I


SPX-30MIN II


SPX-30MIN I


SPY-15MIN